The answer is Medium. Risk exposure in PRINCE2 is calculated as the product of probability and impact, and for risk R1, both are rated as 'Medium', which corresponds to a numeric range of 0.3–0.7 on the PRINCE2 risk matrix. Using the midpoint of 0.5 for each, the exposure value is 0.25, which falls squarely within the 'Medium' exposure category. On the PRINCE2 Foundation exam, this type of question tests your ability to apply the risk management procedure, specifically the step where you evaluate risk exposure by combining probability and impact ratings. A common trap is confusing the individual probability or impact rating with the final exposure level—remember that a 'Medium' probability and a 'Medium' impact do not automatically mean a 'High' exposure; the product must be calculated. To recall the formula, think of the mnemonic "P × I = E" (Probability times Impact equals Exposure), and always check the matrix thresholds before selecting your answer.
PRINCE2F PRINCE2 Practices Practice Question
This PRINCE2F practice question tests your understanding of prince2 practices. Read the scenario carefully and evaluate each option against the stated constraints before committing to an answer. After answering, compare your reasoning against the explanation and wrong-answer breakdown below. Once you have made your selection, read the full explanation to reinforce the concept and understand why each distractor is designed to mislead on exam day.
Exhibit
Refer to the exhibit.
Exhibit:
Risk Register:
Risk ID: R1
Risk Type: Threat
Risk Description: Key supplier may go out of business
Probability: Low
Impact: High
Risk Owner: Project Manager
Proximity: Within next stage
Risk Response: Mitigate - Identify alternative suppliers
Based on the exhibit, what is the current risk exposure of risk R1?
Refer to the exhibit.
Exhibit:
Risk Register:
Risk ID: R1
Risk Type: Threat
Risk Description: Key supplier may go out of business
Probability: Low
Impact: High
Risk Owner: Project Manager
Proximity: Within next stage
Risk Response: Mitigate - Identify alternative suppliers
A
Low
Why wrong: Low probability and High impact often result in Medium exposure.
B
Very High
Why wrong: Very High is not a standard level in PRINCE2's simple risk scoring.
C
Medium
Low probability combined with High impact typically gives a Medium risk exposure.
D
High
Why wrong: High exposure would require High probability and High impact.
Answer the question above first, then reveal the full breakdown to understand why each option is right or wrong.
Correct answer & explanation
✓
Medium
Risk exposure is calculated as the product of probability and impact. In the exhibit, risk R1 has a probability of 'Medium' (0.3–0.7) and an impact of 'Medium' (0.3–0.7). Multiplying the midpoints (0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25) or using the ranges, the resulting exposure falls within the 'Medium' category on the PRINCE2 risk matrix. Therefore, the current risk exposure is correctly identified as Medium.
Key principle: Answer the scenario, not the keyword: identify the specific constraint before choosing the most familiar-sounding option.
Answer analysis
Option-by-option breakdown
For each option: why learners choose it and why it is or isn't the right answer here.
✗
Low
Why it's wrong here
Low probability and High impact often result in Medium exposure.
✗
Very High
Why it's wrong here
Very High is not a standard level in PRINCE2's simple risk scoring.
✓
Medium
Why this is correct
Low probability combined with High impact typically gives a Medium risk exposure.
Related concept
Read the scenario before looking for a memorised answer.
✗
High
Why it's wrong here
High exposure would require High probability and High impact.
Common exam traps
Common exam trap: answer the scenario, not the keyword
The trap here is that candidates often confuse the individual probability or impact rating with the combined risk exposure, mistakenly selecting 'High' or 'Very High' when only one factor is elevated, or 'Low' when both are medium, instead of correctly calculating the product.
Detailed technical explanation
How to think about this question
In PRINCE2, risk exposure is a quantitative measure derived from the probability and impact scales defined in the risk management strategy. The risk matrix typically uses a 5x5 grid with thresholds (e.g., low: 0.01–0.09, medium: 0.10–0.49, high: 0.50–0.89, very high: 0.90–1.00). For R1, with both probability and impact at medium, the product (0.25) falls squarely in the medium band. Real-world scenarios often involve adjusting these thresholds based on organizational risk appetite, but the standard PRINCE2 matrix is used for certification exams.
KKey Concepts to Remember
Read the scenario before looking for a memorised answer.
Find the constraint that changes the correct option.
Eliminate answers that are true in general but not in this case.
TExam Day Tips
→Watch for words such as best, first, most likely and least administrative effort.
→Review why wrong options are wrong, not only why the correct option is correct.
Key takeaway
Answer the scenario, not the keyword: identify the specific constraint before choosing the most familiar-sounding option.
Real-world example
How this comes up in practice
A practitioner preparing for the PRINCE2F exam encounters this exact type of scenario on the job. The correct answer here is not the most general option — it is the best answer for the specific constraint described. Answer the scenario, not the keyword: identify the specific constraint before choosing the most familiar-sounding option. Real exam questions reward reading the full scenario before eliminating options, because the constraint defines which answer fits.
What to study next
Got this wrong? Here's your next step.
Identify which exam domain this question belongs to, review the core concept, then practise similar questions from the same domain.
PRINCE2 Practices — This question tests PRINCE2 Practices — Read the scenario before looking for a memorised answer..
What is the correct answer to this question?
The correct answer is: Medium — Risk exposure is calculated as the product of probability and impact. In the exhibit, risk R1 has a probability of 'Medium' (0.3–0.7) and an impact of 'Medium' (0.3–0.7). Multiplying the midpoints (0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25) or using the ranges, the resulting exposure falls within the 'Medium' category on the PRINCE2 risk matrix. Therefore, the current risk exposure is correctly identified as Medium.
What should I do if I get this PRINCE2F question wrong?
Identify which exam domain this question belongs to, review the core concept, then practise similar questions from the same domain.
What is the key concept behind this question?
Read the scenario before looking for a memorised answer.
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Question Discussion
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