You are responsible for monitoring a production ML model on Vertex AI. The model predicts loan approval probability. The business team reports that the model's predictions are becoming less accurate over the last week. You check the model's monitoring dashboard and see that the prediction distribution has changed significantly. What is the most likely issue?
Trap 1: The model is suffering from overfitting to the training data.
Overfitting would cause poor generalization from the start, not a gradual decline after deployment.
Trap 2: There is a bug in the model's preprocessing code.
A code bug would cause consistent errors, not gradual accuracy decline.
Trap 3: There is data drift in the input features.
Data drift would change input distribution, but the question says prediction distribution changed; it could be concept drift.
- A
The model is suffering from overfitting to the training data.
Why wrong: Overfitting would cause poor generalization from the start, not a gradual decline after deployment.
- B
There is a bug in the model's preprocessing code.
Why wrong: A code bug would cause consistent errors, not gradual accuracy decline.
- C
There is data drift in the input features.
Why wrong: Data drift would change input distribution, but the question says prediction distribution changed; it could be concept drift.
- D
The model is experiencing concept drift.
Concept drift means the underlying relationship between features and target has changed, causing prediction distribution to shift and accuracy to drop.