CAPM · domain
Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies
This CAPM domain covers predictive, plan-based project management: developing the project management plan, collecting requirements, defining scope, sequencing activities, estimating durations and costs, and controlling changes. Questions present scenarios—supplier delays, risk responses, PERT estimates, EMV—and ask you to apply PMBOK-aligned tools and techniques to select the correct action or value.
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What to know about Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies
You must be able to apply predictive planning tools: build a WBS, sequence activities, estimate durations with PERT, quantify risk with EMV, and choose the right risk response. The single most important thing is matching the correct PMBOK technique to the scenario rather than relying on intuition.
Selecting appropriate risk response strategies—avoid, transfer, mitigate, accept—for high-probability, high-impact risks
Applying PERT three-point estimating: (optimistic + 4×most likely + pessimistic) ÷ 6
Calculating expected monetary value as probability multiplied by impact
Using the project management plan, WBS, and schedule baseline to manage scope, time, and cost changes
Watch out for
Common Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies exam traps
- ▸Confusing risk mitigation with avoidance: mitigation reduces probability or impact, while avoidance eliminates the threat entirely by changing the plan.
- ▸Miscomputing PERT by using a simple average of the three estimates instead of the weighted formula with four times the most likely.
- ▸Treating EMV as a guaranteed loss rather than a probability-weighted expected value used to compare risk exposure across options.
Question index
All Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies questions (90)
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Which THREE of the following are considered key schedule management tools for predictive projects?
Medium2A project team is developing a quality management plan for a predictive software development project. Which tool is most appropriate to identify the root causes of potential defects?
Easy3Which THREE of the following are outputs of the Control Quality process?
Hard4A project manager is creating a project scope statement for a predictive project. Which element is typically included in the project scope statement?
Medium5During the planning phase of a predictive project, the project manager is estimating costs. Which cost estimation technique uses historical data from similar projects?
Easy6Which document formally authorizes the project manager to use organizational resources to execute the project?
Easy7A project manager is developing the project schedule for a predictive building renovation project. The project manager needs to determine the early start and early finish dates for each activity. Which technique should the project manager use?
Medium8Which THREE of the following are tools and techniques used in the Control Schedule process?
Hard9In a predictive (waterfall) project, the project phases are completed sequentially. If the design phase is delayed by two weeks, what is the likely impact on the project?
Medium10A project manager is reviewing the project schedule and sees that Task D depends on the completion of Task C, but Task C can start only after Task B finishes. Task B can start only after Task A. This is an example of which dependency?
Medium11A project manager is performing qualitative risk analysis. Which TWO of the following are typical outputs of this process? (Select TWO)
Medium12A project manager is evaluating the impact of a potential risk on project objectives. The risk has a probability of 0.3 and an impact of $50,000. What is the expected monetary value (EMV) of this risk?
Hard13Which THREE of the following are components of the project management plan?
Medium14A project manager is leading a predictive project to implement a new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. During the Plan Quality Management process, the project manager is identifying quality requirements and documenting how the project will demonstrate compliance. Which two of the following are inputs to this process? (Choose two.)
Hard15A project manager is leading a predictive project to build a bridge. The project is in the execution phase, and the team has completed 40% of the work. The project manager wants to forecast the final project cost using earned value management. Which formula should be used to calculate the estimate at completion (EAC) when the current cost performance is expected to continue?
Medium16A project manager is developing the project management plan for a hospital wing expansion using a predictive approach. The sponsor wants a single document that will authorize the project manager to assign organizational resources to project activities. Which document should the project manager reference?
Medium17A project manager is estimating the duration of a task using parametric estimation. Historical data shows that a similar task took 10 hours per unit, and 50 units are required. The team's productivity is expected to be 20% slower due to new team members. What is the estimated duration?
Hard18In a predictive project, the project manager wants to ensure that the project team understands their roles and responsibilities. Which document is used to define roles and responsibilities?
Medium19Which THREE of the following are typically included in a project management plan (as opposed to project documents)?
Easy20Which TWO of the following are outputs of the Define Activities process? (Select exactly 2.)
Medium21A project manager is performing risk identification. Which two inputs are essential for this process? (Choose two)
Hard22A project manager is closing a phase in a predictive life cycle. Which document should be updated to record lessons learned for future phases?
Hard23Which TWO of the following are outputs of the Define Activities process?
Medium24A project manager is reviewing the project schedule and notices that a task has a lead time of 2 days. What does this indicate?
Medium25Which document formally authorizes the project and provides the project manager with the authority to apply organizational resources to project activities?
Easy26Which THREE of the following are tools and techniques used in the Control Schedule process? (Select exactly 3.)
Hard27A project manager is performing quality control on a batch of manufactured components. The team collects data on the number of defects per unit and wants to determine whether the process is stable over time and to identify any unusual patterns. Which tool should the project manager use?
Hard28In a predictive project life cycle, which three of the following are characteristics of a work breakdown structure (WBS)? (Choose three)
Medium29A project manager is creating a risk response plan for a predictive construction project. One risk has a high probability and high impact. The team decides to purchase insurance to cover potential losses. Which risk response strategy is being used?
Hard30A project manager is using a predictive approach to manage project costs. Which THREE of the following are cost estimation techniques? (Select THREE)
Medium31You are the project manager for a construction project using a predictive plan-based methodology. The project has a detailed scope baseline approved by stakeholders. During the execution phase, a key stakeholder requests an additional feature that would require significant changes to the scope. You estimate the impact will increase the project cost by 15% and extend the schedule by three weeks. The project charter clearly defines the original scope and budget. What is the BEST course of action?
Easy32A project manager is planning risk responses for a high-impact, low-probability risk. The team decides to purchase an insurance policy to cover potential losses. Which risk response strategy is being used?
Hard33You are managing a predictive project to build a new office building. The project is in the execution phase. During a weekly progress meeting, the electrical contractor reports that a critical piece of switchgear has a 6-week lead time, but it was not ordered because the team assumed it would be procured later. The project schedule shows the switchgear installation activity is supposed to start in 4 weeks. The project manager reviews the procurement management plan and realizes the procurement process was not followed. The project has a tight deadline and cannot accommodate a 6-week delay. What is the best course of action for the project manager?
Medium34A project manager is using a predictive approach to manage a project. During the execution phase, the team is working on deliverables. Which process group involves tracking, reviewing, and regulating progress against the plan?
Easy35Drag and drop the steps for managing project communications in the correct order.
Medium36A project manager is leading a predictive project to develop a new software system. The project sponsor asks for a document that formally authorizes the project and provides the project manager with the authority to apply organizational resources to project activities. Which document should the project manager reference?
Easy37During a predictive project, a team member reports that a critical path activity is behind schedule by two days. To recover the schedule, the project manager should first:
Medium38A government IT project is being managed using a predictive lifecycle. The project must comply with numerous regulatory standards, including data privacy and security. The project manager developed a comprehensive quality management plan that includes regular quality audits by an independent team. At the first milestone quality audit, the auditor identifies three non-conformances related to documentation and testing procedures. The project manager is under pressure from the sponsor to stay on schedule. The project manager needs to address the non-conformances effectively while minimizing schedule impact.
Medium39A project manager is developing the WBS for a large construction project. She has identified the major deliverables and decomposed them into work packages. Which of the following BEST describes the next step in the WBS creation process?
Medium40A project manager is determining the sequence of activities for a construction project. Which tool is best suited for this purpose?
Easy41A project manager is developing a work breakdown structure (WBS) for a software development project. The team is struggling with defining the lowest-level work packages. Which technique should the project manager use to ensure the WBS is complete and properly decomposed?
Medium42A key stakeholder requests a new feature after the project requirements have been formally approved and the scope baseline has been set. What is the first process the project manager should follow?
Easy43In a predictive project, the project manager needs to estimate the cost of each work package with a high level of accuracy. Which technique is most appropriate?
Easy44A project manager is executing a predictive project with a cost baseline of $500,000. At the end of the third month, the project has completed 40% of the work, and the actual cost incurred is $220,000. The project manager needs to forecast the total cost at completion. Which earned value management (EVM) estimate should the project manager use if the current cost performance is expected to continue?
Hard45A project team is conducting cost estimation for a project that uses a predictive lifecycle. They have historical data from similar projects. Which estimation technique is MOST appropriate?
Medium46During the planning phase of a predictive project, the project manager notices that the project schedule does not include all required deliverables. What is the most appropriate action to address this gap?
Easy47During project execution, a stakeholder requests a new feature that was not in the original scope. The project manager determines that the feature can be accommodated without affecting the critical path, but will increase costs. According to the predictive plan-based methodology, what should the project manager do NEXT?
Hard48A project is in the execution phase. The earned value analysis shows a Cost Performance Index (CPI) of 0.8 and a Schedule Performance Index (SPI) of 0.9. What is the best interpretation of these metrics?
Medium49In a predictive project, the project sponsor requests a scope change that will significantly increase the project cost. The project manager should FIRST:
Hard50Drag and drop the steps for controlling project changes according to the integrated change control process.
Medium51A project manager is planning a predictive project to upgrade a hospital's HVAC system. The project has a fixed budget and a strict regulatory deadline. The project manager needs to determine the total duration of the project by analyzing the sequence of activities and their dependencies. Which technique should the project manager use?
Medium52Which THREE of the following are key components of a project management plan for a predictive project?
Hard53A construction project has a predefined budget and strict deadline. The project manager is using a work breakdown structure (WBS) to decompose deliverables. Which level of the WBS provides the basis for estimating and scheduling?
Easy54A project manager is developing the project schedule using a predictive approach. The project involves multiple dependencies and a critical path that has been identified. Which TWO of the following are valid techniques for schedule compression that can be applied to activities on the critical path?
Hard55During the creation of the project schedule, a project manager needs to identify and document the logical relationships among activities. Which technique should be used?
Medium56A project manager is performing risk response planning for a high-priority risk. The risk has a high probability and high impact. Which response strategy is most appropriate to reduce the probability and/or impact?
Hard57Which TWO of the following are outputs of the 'Define Activities' process in predictive project management?
Medium58During project execution, a key stakeholder requests a change that will increase the project scope. The project manager evaluates the impact and determines it will require additional budget and time. What should the project manager do first?
Medium59A project team is troubleshooting a delay in the critical path. The project manager identifies that a non-critical activity has slipped by five days but the project end date remains unchanged. What is the most likely reason for this?
Medium60A project manager is leading a predictive project to develop a new software application. The project sponsor asks for a document that describes how the project scope will be defined, validated, and controlled. Which two elements should the project manager include in this document? (Choose two.)
Medium61A project manager is developing a work breakdown structure (WBS) for a construction project. Which approach should be used to ensure all deliverables are identified?
Easy62During a predictive project's execution phase, a key stakeholder requests a change that adds a minor feature. The project manager assesses the impact and determines the change will increase cost by 5% and extend the schedule by two days, which is within the contingency reserves. What should the project manager do first?
Medium63A software development project is using a predictive approach with a detailed project schedule based on the critical path method (CPM). The project is currently in the execution phase. The team reports that a critical task (Task X) is two weeks behind schedule. Task X has a total float of 0 and has two immediate successors: Task Y and Task Z, both of which are also on the critical path. The project manager has the ability to add resources to overlapping tasks. The project sponsor is concerned about the schedule delay and wants a recovery plan. The project manager needs to determine the best course of action to get the project back on track without impacting quality or budget excessively.
Medium64In a predictive project management approach, which TWO artifacts are components of the project management plan?
Medium65A project manager is developing the project management plan for a predictive project to implement a new ERP system. The sponsor asks which components are typically included in the project management plan. (Choose two.)
Medium66A project manager is evaluating cost performance using earned value management (EVM). The project has a cost performance index (CPI) of 0.85 and a schedule performance index (SPI) of 0.90. Which conclusion is most appropriate?
Hard67A project manager is planning a project and needs to identify all the work required to complete the project successfully. Which document is the primary output of the Create WBS process?
Easy68A project manager is developing the project schedule for a construction project. The team has identified that the foundation work must be completed before the framing can begin. Which type of dependency does this represent?
Medium69A project manager is developing the project charter for a new office relocation project. The sponsor has provided a high-level description of the business need. Which input is essential for developing the project charter?
Easy70A project manager is leading a software development project using a predictive plan-based methodology. The project is at 70% completion and the team has discovered a significant defect in a module that was completed two months ago. The defect was not identified during testing because the test cases were incomplete. The project schedule has a buffer of 5 days, and the defect is expected to take 10 days to fix. The project manager needs to determine the best course of action. Which of the following should the project manager do?
Easy71A project manager needs to decompose the project scope into smaller, more manageable components to provide a framework for detailed planning. Which technique should the project manager use?
Easy72A project manager is reviewing the project's cost performance. The actual cost (AC) is $50,000, the earned value (EV) is $45,000, and the planned value (PV) is $60,000. What is the cost variance (CV)?
Medium73During the planning phase of a predictive project, the project manager wants to define the project scope more precisely. Which process should be used to develop a detailed description of the project and product?
Hard74During project execution, a key stakeholder requests a change that will increase the project scope. The project manager evaluates the impact and determines it will require additional budget and time. What is the first step the project manager should take?
Easy75A project manager is leading a predictive software implementation project. The project sponsor asks for a document that lists all the work that must be completed to deliver the product, organized in a hierarchical decomposition. Which document should the project manager provide?
Easy76A project manager is planning a data-center migration that will use a predictive life cycle. The project has a hard regulatory deadline, and the sponsor wants confidence that the schedule is achievable before authorizing funding. The project manager has already decomposed all work packages and estimated activity durations and resource requirements. Which action should the project manager take NEXT to determine whether the deadline can realistically be met?
Medium77Which of the following is a key component of a project scope baseline in predictive project management?
Medium78A project manager is developing a project schedule for a software development project using a predictive approach. After identifying activities and sequencing them, what is the NEXT step?
Easy79A project manager is leading a construction project with a fixed budget and strict deadline. During execution, a key supplier notifies that a critical material will be delayed by two weeks, which will push the project past the deadline. The project manager reviews the schedule and identifies that the delay can be compensated by fast-tracking two subsequent activities that are currently planned sequentially. What should the project manager do first?
Medium80A project manager is executing a predictive project to build a data center. The project is halfway complete, and the project manager is analyzing cost performance. The earned value (EV) is $500,000, the planned value (PV) is $600,000, and the actual cost (AC) is $550,000. The project manager needs to forecast the total cost at completion, assuming the current cost performance will continue. Which earned value management (EVM) metric should the project manager use to determine the estimate at completion (EAC)?
Hard81A project manager is developing the project schedule for a construction project. The team has identified all activities and their dependencies. Which tool should the project manager use to determine the critical path?
Easy82A project manager is using a predictive approach for an aircraft component project. The team has identified a risk that a critical supplier may fail to deliver a specialized alloy on time. The project manager wants to reduce the probability and impact of this risk by taking action before it occurs. Which risk response strategy should the project manager use?
Hard83You are the project manager for a large infrastructure project using a predictive plan-based methodology. The project has a critical path duration of 200 days. After 50 days of execution, a major delay occurs on a critical path activity due to unforeseen ground conditions, adding 20 days to that activity. The project has no float on the critical path. The sponsor requests a recovery plan to bring the project back on schedule. The team proposes two options: (1) crash activity X on the critical path by adding overtime, costing $10,000 and saving 5 days; (2) fast-track activity Y and Z by starting Y earlier, saving 10 days but increasing risk. What is the BEST integrated approach?
Hard84A project manager is creating the project schedule. The team estimates that the optimistic time for an activity is 10 days, the pessimistic time is 30 days, and the most likely time is 15 days. Using PERT three-point estimation, what is the expected duration?
Easy85A project manager is estimating activity durations for a software development project. The team has historical data from similar projects, but the current project involves new technology that could cause delays. Which estimating technique should the project manager use to account for uncertainty?
Hard86A project manager notices that the project's cost performance index (CPI) is 0.85. What does this indicate?
Medium87Which TWO of the following are valid techniques for schedule compression in a predictive project?
Hard88In a predictive project, the project manager must formally accept the project's deliverables. Which process group does this activity belong to?
Medium89A project manager is estimating activity durations for a new software development project. The manager has data from three similar previous projects, but the new project is slightly larger in scope. Which estimating technique is most appropriate given the available data?
Hard90A project manager is working on a predictive project to develop a new medical device. The project sponsor asks for a document that describes how the project team will implement the quality policies of the performing organization. Which document should the project manager provide?
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Frequently asked questions
- What does the Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies domain cover on the CAPM exam?
- You must be able to apply predictive planning tools: build a WBS, sequence activities, estimate durations with PERT, quantify risk with EMV, and choose the right risk response. The single most important thing is matching the correct PMBOK technique to the scenario rather than relying on intuition.
- How many questions are in this domain?
- This page lists all 90 Predictive Plan-Based Methodologies questions in the CAPM question bank. The actual exam draws from this domain proportionally to its weighting in the official exam blueprint.
- What is the best way to practise this domain?
- Start with a short focused session (10 questions) to identify gaps, then work through explanations. Repeat with a longer session once the weak areas feel solid.
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