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DA0-002 Data Analysis Practice Question

An analyst is performing a logistic regression to predict customer churn (yes/no). The model outputs a probability of 0.75 for a particular customer. Which of the following best describes the interpretation?

⚠ Common exam trap

DA0-002 often tests the confusion between probability and odds, and between probabilistic and deterministic predictions, causing candidates to misinterpret the output of logistic regression.

Answer choices

Why each option matters

Answer the question above first, then reveal the full breakdown to understand why each option is right or wrong.

Correct answer & explanation

✓

There is a 75% chance that the customer will churn

In logistic regression, the model outputs a probability between 0 and 1 that the positive class (churn = yes) occurs. A value of 0.75 means the model estimates a 75% probability that the customer will churn, given the input features. This is a probabilistic prediction, not a deterministic one, and it does not mean the customer will definitely churn.

Answer analysis

Option-by-option breakdown

For each option: why learners choose it and why it is or isn't the right answer here.

  • ✗

    The model predicts that the customer will not churn

    Why it's wrong here

    A predicted probability of 0.75 indicates the model leans toward churn, since it exceeds 0.5; predicting non-churn corresponds to probabilities below the threshold. This interpretation would fit a model output of, say, 0.25, where the negative class is favoured.

  • ✓

    There is a 75% chance that the customer will churn

    Why this is correct

    Logistic regression outputs a calibrated probability of the positive class, so 0.75 means a 75% estimated likelihood of churn for that customer. This satisfies the stem's interpretation requirement, distinguishing probabilistic output from a deterministic classification decision.

  • ✗

    The customer will definitely churn because the probability is above 0.5

    Why it's wrong here

    A probability of 0.75 expresses 75% likelihood, not certainty; logistic regression yields a probabilistic classification, so the customer may still not churn. Threshold-based hard classification suits decision rules after choosing a cutoff, but the output itself remains a probability, not a definite outcome.

  • ✗

    The odds of churning are 0.75 to 1

    Why it's wrong here

    Logistic regression outputs a probability, not odds; 0.75 means a 75% chance of churn, whereas odds of 0.75 to 1 correspond to a probability of roughly 0.43. Odds are the correct interpretation only when the model reports odds ratios or log-odds converted explicitly.

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Last reviewed September 2026 · checked against the official CompTIA exam blueprint

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